Model Track Record

How to read this record

A directional call is a hit when the market moves the way it was called. HOLD is not scored — it is a decision not to call, and counting it either way would flatter the result. The benchmark is not 50%: equities drift upward, so the honest bar is what "always buy" would have scored over the same windows. Everything is measured on a fixed pool of 70 instruments across twelve markets and commodities — the same list forecast every day — so the sample cannot drift toward whatever happened to be requested, or to have gone well.